By Life In Humanity Analysis Desk
Femi Fani-Kayode wrote a 9 October 2023 piece of writing headlined “14 steps to World War III” published on the online platform- The Cable. Very short time after, the Chinese Professor Xueqin Jiang in 2024 released a prediction, according to which, this US/Israel war against Iran would occur and the US would lose it. He pointed out that this outcome-US loss of the war to Iran- would change how affairs are run in the whole world.
The startling commonality of these two predictions is that both of them now contain certain components which have exactly materialized. The professor’s prediction is now being revisited by various media outlets in different parts of the globe. At Life In Humanity, we have also decided to focus on the predictions in this article.
Fani-Kayode’s 14 steps to World War III
According to him, Hamas constitutes the trigger of the war- meaning that it is the first step. “1. Hamas attacks Israel in a savage and brutal manner, killing thousands of Israeli civilians. 2. Israel declares war on Hamas, flattens and occupies Gaza and kills thousands of terrorists and innocent Palestinian women and children. 3. Hezbollah and Islamic Jihad fire rockets into Israel in solidarity with Hamas. 4. Israel launches devastating a counterattack against Hezbollah and unleashes a brutal and vicious ground offensive in Southern Lebanon and occupies it. 5. Israel launches air strikes against Iran for consistently providing 70% of funding and lethal weapons to Hamas and for consistently providing 90% of funding and lethal weapons to Hezbollah. 6. Iran hits back with air strikes and the declaration of war against Israel.”
Fani-Kayode produced this account, little time after Hamas had perpetrated the horrendous raid on Israel and killed several people there. He made the story on 9 October 2023 where the attacked occurred on 7 October 2023. “Hamas-led armed groups committed numerous war crimes and crimes against humanity against civilians during the October 7 assault on southern Israel
. Palestinian fighters committed summary killings, hostage-taking and other war crimes, and the crimes against humanity of murder and wrongful imprisonment.
Hamas’ military wing– the Qassam Brigades – and at least four other Palestinian armed groups committed numerous war crimes and crimes against humanity against civilians during the October 7, 2023 assault on southern Israel. Agence France-Presse cross-referenced numerous data sources to determine that 815 of 1,195 people killed on October 7 were civilians. The armed groups took as hostages 251 civilians and Israeli security force personnel and took them to Gaza,” Human Rights Watch said in a report released on 17 July 2024.
Fani-Kayode, continues “7. The Arab world declares an Intifada against Israel and declares war against her. 8. America, the EU, the UK, Australia, Canada, India and their allies stand with Israel. 9. Russia, China, North Korea, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, the Arab world and their allies stand with Hamas, Hezbollah, the Palestinians and Iran.”
He says that after this phase, the conflict will spiral out of control into an unprecedented global human-made catastrophe. “10. The war in Ukraine gets even worse as Russia crushes the Ukrainian forces and takes more territory. 11. NATO finally jumps into the fray in the Ukraine and Europe is plunged into total war with the use of tactical nuclear weapons. 12. China, Iran, North Korea, the Arab world and their allies side with Russia whilst America, NATO, the EU, the UK, Canada, Australia and their allies side with Ukraine. 13. China invades and occupies Taiwan making good their threat and claim on the island and asserts her power in the South China sea. 14. America responds and all hell breaks loose on earth.”
He concludes his piece, with the words “Ladies and gentlemen, over the next few months and years, each of these events could happen if care is not taken. We are very close to WWIII and guess what, the whole thing was planned and contrived many years ago by those who wish to establish a New World Order. May God save the world from the shape-shifting reptilians, satanists, Lucifereans and Illuminati cult members that are behind this frightful and utterly demonic agenda.”
Professor Jiang’s forecasting
In its 5 March 2026 story titled “‘China’s Nostradamus’ Made 3 Trump Predictions In 2024. 2 Already Came True”, NDTV recounts “As tensions in the region rise, many online users are pointing to Jiang’s lecture as an example of unusually accurate geopolitical forecasting. Professor Xueqin Jiang, host of a popular YouTube channel Predictive History, is going viral for foretelling that United States will lose the war to Iran.
The Chinese-Canadian educator made the comment during an online lecture in 2024, and its video is circulating now as tensions between US and Iran simmer. He had made three big predictions in 2024: that Donald Trump will return in power; the second was that he would start a war with Iran. Since both his prophecies have become true, social media users began calling him ‘China’s Nostradamus’.”
Jiang works as a teacher of philosophy and history in Beijing. He has graduated from Yale College and has expended much of his career on education reform and curriculum design in China. Besides, Jiang has built a strong following online (over 1.5 million subscribers) through his YouTube project, Predictive History.
He attempts to predict global events and issues by investigating recurring patterns in history, geopolitical incentives and game theory. The Economic Times- with its 5 March 2026 story headlined “‘China’s Nostradamus’ Jiang Xueqin predicted US-Iran war; his chilling third forecast is now going viral”- defines Predictive History as “a method that studies historical patterns, geopolitical incentives and game theory to anticipate future developments.”
NDTV adds “His approach is loosely inspired by the idea of ‘psychohistory’ – a fictional science imagined by author Isaac Asimov in the Foundation novels – where long-term historical patterns are used to anticipate the future,” NDT says.
“In a widely shared lecture recorded in May 2024, Jiang argued that if Trump returned to power, geopolitical pressures could push the United States toward confrontation with Iran. In the lecture, Jiang argued that a second Trump presidency could increase the chances of a military confrontation with Iran. He warned that such a conflict could prove disastrous for the United States.
Drawing parallels from history, Jiang compared a potential US invasion of Iran with the Sicilian Expedition, when Athens launched a large military campaign that ultimately ended in catastrophe. He argued that Iran’s geography and population would make any prolonged occupation extremely difficult. Mountainous terrain, long supply lines, and strong domestic resistance could quickly turn an initial military success into a strategic failure.”
In his own words, he says “Given my analysis of how the war is progressing, I think that Iran has many more advantages over the United States. The reality is, right now, it’s a war of attrition between the United States and Iran, and Iranians have been preparing 20 years for this conflict.”
NDTV cites him as saying that Iran and her proxies – the Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamaz – have apprehended American mentality and that they have now developed a pretty good strategy “to weaken and ultimately destroy the American empire”. “They’ve had many practice runs. Last June was a 12-day war when the Iranians were able to examine and analyse the strike capacities of both the Israelis and the Americans. And they have had a lot of time, eight months, to prepare fully for this new attack.”
“In his latest lecture, Jiang said the war will continue for a long time and when it is finally over, the world won’t be the same. Whether Jiang’s broader predictions prove correct remains to be seen. But for now, the professor’s once-obscure lecture has turned him into one of the most talked-about geopolitical forecasters on the internet.”
Professor Jiang said that Iran and its backed-militias would wage a war of attrition against Iran. The Collins Dictionary defines attrition is a process in which you progressively and uninterruptedly reduce the strength of an enemy by continually attacking them.
The war of attrition is designed for you to debilitate, incapacitate and eventually rob your enemy of capacity to carry the war on. This includes depending on endurance and other resources of resilience, whereby you don’t rush for a swift victory. In military theory—discussed by strategists like Carl von Clausewitz—attrition warfare aims to gradually exhaust the opponent’s manpower, supplies, and morale until they can no longer continue fighting. “Speaking in a later appearance on the US news programme Breaking Points, Jiang said Iran has been preparing for such a confrontation for nearly two decades.
He suggested the conflict could evolve into a war of attrition, with Iran and allied groups such as the Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamas relying on endurance rather than quick battlefield victories. Jiang believes these groups have spent years analysing American and Israeli military tactics through previous regional confrontations. According to his analysis, the strategy would be aimed at gradually exhausting and weakening US power over time, rather than securing an immediate victory,” The Economic Times reports.
The reality of the current battlefield between Iran and the US/Israel is starting to corroborate some of what the professor says as far as the war attrition- wearing down- is concerned. As we have detailed it in this piece- “Iran had prepared herself for this war. Consequences of the war will affect all of us,”- KNC and Angeli Mutabaruka from Rwanda ,- the US is already suffering financially, lamentably since it is using extremely expensive several interceptor missiles, to down very cheap Iran drones. A $20 000-worth drone is being shot down by a $4 000 000-worth Patriot missile. Only one missile can rarely bring the drones down. One day, it happened that the US fired approximately 10 interceptors which reportedly missed the target.
Which of the predictions will be fulfilled?
At this stage, Life In Humanity cannot accurately determine which of the two predictions will ultimately prove correct. Forecasts about war and global political transformations are inherently uncertain, because conflicts evolve through a complex interaction of military realities, political decisions, economic pressures and unpredictable human choices. History repeatedly shows that even the most carefully reasoned predictions can either materialize only partially or unfold in ways that were not originally anticipated.
Yet it would also be inaccurate to dismiss the forecasts entirely. Several elements held in the two predictions have already materialized, and this is precisely what makes the debate around them so compelling. While Fani-Kayode’s prediction was published at a time when the conflagration had already begun, the current bombardment of Iran and its firing back come after both Professor Jiang and Fani-Kayode’s forecasts.
Professor Jiang’s two forecasts have materialized. His predictions that Donald Trump would return to power and subsequently conduct confrontation with Iran have been accomplished. These predictions have widely been cited because developments in U.S.–Iran tensions have followed a trajectory resembling the scenario the professor described.
Moreover, Jiang’s emphasis on a prolonged war of attrition is increasingly discussed by analysts. His argument was that Iran and its allied networks—including groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah—might seek to exhaust American resources over time rather than defeat them in a direct and rapid confrontation. Elements of such an attritional dynamic are already being debated in military and strategic circles.
These developments do not prove that either prediction will ultimately unfold exactly as envisioned. But the fact that several of their components have already occurred raises significant questions about how the conflict will evolve and end.
For now, the future remains uncertain. What can be stated with confidence is that the partial realization of these forecasts lends them a degree of credibility that nobody can definitively dispute until unfolding events reveal the final outcome of the conflict. Only when the conflict has fully run its course, will history deliver its unquestionable verdict. In other words, only time will ultimately clarify which of these predictions, if any, proves correct.